GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/21/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santa Ana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Escorpiones BelénSanta Ana
76.7Attack33.3
42.5Defence100.0
58.3Form100.0
58.9Power80.3
2.17xG1.63
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