GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/25/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santa Ana are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénLWLLW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaWWWDW

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Escorpiones BelénSanta Ana
76.7Attack33.3
42.5Defence100.0
58.3Form100.0
58.9Power80.3
2.17xG1.63
View match centre →