GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénLWWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Escorpiones BelénSanta Ana
76.7Attack33.3
42.5Defence100.0
58.3Form100.0
58.9Power80.3
2.17xG1.63
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