GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/14/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénLLLWL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalupe FCLDLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Escorpiones BelénGuadalupe FC
76.7Attack66.7
42.5Defence50.0
58.3Form66.7
58.9Power64.8
2.41xG1.70
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