GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/10/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalupe FCDWLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Escorpiones BelénGuadalupe FC
76.7Attack66.7
42.5Defence50.0
58.3Form66.7
58.9Power64.8
2.41xG1.70
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