Escorpiones Belénvs
Deportivo Saprissa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Escorpiones Belén 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Escorpiones Belén 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.66 | 13.7% | 10.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.3% | 17.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 65.1% | 71.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Escorpiones Belén 0–2 Deportivo Saprissa
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80