GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/3/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CS UruguayWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Escorpiones BelénCS Uruguay
76.7Attack33.3
42.5Defence50.0
58.3Form16.7
58.9Power36.5
2.65xG1.35
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