GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cariari PocociLLDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Escorpiones BelénCariari Pococi
76.7Attack16.7
42.5Defence100.0
58.3Form66.7
58.9Power64.8
2.19xG1.45
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