GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/25/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénAserri FC
76.7Attack0.0
42.5Defence66.7
58.3Form0.0
58.9Power26.7
2.54xG1.28
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