GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Aserri FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénLWWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.50/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Aserri FCWDLWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Escorpiones BelénAserri FC
76.7Attack0.0
42.5Defence66.7
58.3Form0.0
58.9Power26.7
2.54xG1.28
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