GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/8/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Antioquia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AntioquiaWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Escorpiones BelénAntioquia
76.7Attack55.2
42.5Defence36.5
58.3Form40.6
58.9Power44.1
3.29xG1.67
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