GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/26/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénAD Sarchí
76.7Attack66.7
42.5Defence66.7
58.3Form100.0
58.9Power80.3
2.20xG1.74
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