GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénAD Carmelita
76.7Attack66.7
42.5Defence33.3
58.3Form33.3
58.9Power45.3
2.65xG1.54
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