GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AD CarmelitaDLWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénAD Carmelita
76.7Attack66.7
42.5Defence33.3
58.3Form33.3
58.9Power45.3
2.65xG1.54
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