Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Esbjerg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Zimbru are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40