Esbjergvs
Vendsyssel FF
COMPLETEDDenmark · 1. Division · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esbjerg 0-2 Vendsyssel FF
Original prediction
Esbjerg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.5% | 42.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.4% | 25.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 30.1% | 32.2% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EsbjergWLLLW
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vendsyssel FFWWLDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EsbjergVendsyssel FF
53.3Attack33.3
26.7Defence46.7
26.7Form33.3
38.6Power40.6
1.68xG1.40