GGOALVIO

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/13/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Esbjerg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fremad Amager are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (76.7 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the 2. Division, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Esbjerg

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EsbjergWWDWL

GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Fremad AmagerLWDWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EsbjergFremad Amager
95.8Attack44.4
61.5Defence44.4
78.1Form44.4
76.7Power45.9
2.91xG0.93
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