Esan Pattayavs
Songkhla
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esan Pattaya 3-2 Songkhla
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.8% | 34.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.5% | 30.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.7% | 35.7% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Esan PattayaDLDLW
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SongkhlaLDWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Esan PattayaSongkhla
20.0Attack40.0
46.7Defence53.3
33.3Form33.3
36.7Power43.0
1.09xG1.22