Esan Pattayavs
Police Tero
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esan Pattaya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esan Pattaya 0-3 Police Tero
Original prediction
Esan Pattaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.7% | 39.6% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 28.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.7% | 31.6% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Esan Pattaya
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Esan Pattaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20