Esan Pattayavs
Phrae United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esan Pattaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esan Pattaya 0-3 Phrae United
Original prediction
Esan Pattaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.6% | 44.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 28.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.6% | 27.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Esan Pattaya
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Esan Pattaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00