GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/23/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ES Zarzis are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Olympique Béja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and eS Zarzis hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ligue 1, favouring a draw with 24.0% confidence, a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

24.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ES ZarzisWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Olympique BéjaDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ES ZarzisOlympique Béja
41.1Attack37.2
66.7Defence70.5
57.8Form52.6
57.5Power54.7
0.80xG0.68
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