ES Zarzisvs
ES Hammam-Sousse
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Zarzis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ES Zarzis 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Zarzis 2-0 ES Hammam-Sousse
Original prediction
ES Zarzis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.0% | 41.9% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.1% | 31.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 17.9% | 26.4% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Projected Score
ES Zarzis 0–0 ES Hammam-Sousse
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
ES Zarzis
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
ES Zarzis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES ZarzisLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ES Hammam-SousseLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ES ZarzisES Hammam-Sousse
25.0Attack8.3
58.3Defence58.3
25.0Form8.3
39.1Power28.6
0.93xG0.71