GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ES Tunis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

ES Tunis are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while ES Metlaoui are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and ES Tunis hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Ligue 1, while ES Tunis holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ES Tunis

Probability

67.8%

Model confidence

67.8%

ES Tunis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ES TunisDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
ES MetlaouiW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
ES TunisES Metlaoui
50.0Attack32.1
81.8Defence52.6
80.3Form33.3
73.0Power41.8
1.71xG0.35
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