GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ES Setif · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: ES Setif 0-0 JS Kabylie, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

ES Setif 1-1 JS Kabylie

Original prediction

ES Setif

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9446.5%39.9%-6.6 pts
Draw2.8731.4%31.9%0.5 pts
Away4.0722.1%28.2%6.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.6 pts

Projected Score

ES Setif 0–0 JS Kabylie

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

ES Setif

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

ES Setif has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ES SetifDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JS KabylieWLWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ES SetifJS Kabylie
41.7Attack22.2
75.0Defence88.9
33.3Form66.7
48.4Power62.6
0.94xG0.75
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