Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
ES Setif are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while El Bayadh are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and ES Setif hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00