ES Setifvs
CS Constantine
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Setif 5-1 CS Constantine
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.2% | 32.5% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 32.6% | 30.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.2% | 37.0% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES SetifLLWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CS ConstantineWDLDL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ES SetifCS Constantine
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power71.2
0.85xG1.21