ES Setifvs
Ben Aknoun
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Setif · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ES Setif 0-0 Ben Aknoun, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Setif 0-1 Ben Aknoun
Original prediction
ES Setif
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.4% | 47.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 28.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.3% | 23.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
ES Setif 0–0 Ben Aknoun
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
ES Setif
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
ES Setif has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES SetifWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ben AknounDDLWL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ES SetifBen Aknoun
41.1Attack35.6
58.9Defence58.9
53.3Form35.6
53.5Power45.1
1.12xG0.78