GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ES Setif · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ES Setif are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ben Aknoun are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ES Setif hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Ligue 1, while ES Setif holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ES Setif

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

16.3%

ES Setif has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ES SetifWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ben AknounDDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ES SetifBen Aknoun
41.1Attack35.6
58.9Defence58.9
53.3Form35.6
53.5Power45.1
1.12xG0.78
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