ES Sahelvs
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Sahel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Sahel 1-1 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Original prediction
ES Sahel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.7% | 43.9% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 28.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.37 | 14.1% | 27.8% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
ES Sahel
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
ES Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60