ES Sahelvs
ES Metlaoui
SCHEDULEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Sahel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
ES Sahel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ES Metlaoui are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and ES Sahel hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.2% in the Ligue 1, while ES Sahel holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ES Sahel
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
28.2%
ES Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40