ES Sahelvs
CS Hammam-Lif
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Sahel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ES Sahel 0-0 CS Hammam-Lif, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Sahel 0-1 CS Hammam-Lif
Original prediction
ES Sahel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.6% | 46.3% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.0% | 29.3% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 7.29 | 12.3% | 24.4% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Projected Score
ES Sahel 0–0 CS Hammam-Lif
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
ES Sahel
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
ES Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES SahelLDWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CS Hammam-LifLLLLW
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
ES SahelCS Hammam-Lif
41.7Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
44.6Power26.7
1.05xG0.75