ES Metlaouivs
Stade Tunisien
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ES Metlaoui 0-0 Stade Tunisien, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Metlaoui 1-2 Stade Tunisien
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.66 | 24.8% | 30.2% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.5% | 31.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.7% | 38.1% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
ES Metlaoui 0–0 Stade Tunisien
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES MetlaouiLWLLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Stade TunisienWLDWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ES MetlaouiStade Tunisien
16.7Attack55.6
66.7Defence55.6
25.0Form44.4
39.1Power53.1
0.84xG0.96