ES Metlaouivs
ES Hammam-Sousse
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ES Metlaoui 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Metlaoui 1-0 ES Hammam-Sousse
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.3% | 35.9% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 32.1% | 32.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.6% | 31.9% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
ES Metlaoui 0–0 ES Hammam-Sousse
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES MetlaouiLLDLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ES Hammam-SousseLD
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50
BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
ES MetlaouiES Hammam-Sousse
16.7Attack0.0
50.0Defence83.3
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
0.83xG0.87