GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/23/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ES Metlaoui are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Club Africain are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and club Africain hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ligue 1, favouring a draw with 28.5% confidence, a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

28.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ES MetlaouiDLWWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Club AfricainDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ES MetlaouiClub Africain
32.1Attack27.3
52.6Defence72.7
33.3Form48.5
41.8Power51.8
0.55xG0.74
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