GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/22/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

US Monastirienne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ES Hammam-Sousse have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while US Monastirienne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and uS Monastirienne hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ligue 1, favouring US Monastirienne with 22.0% confidence, a 28% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

US Monastirienne

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

22.0%

US Monastirienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ES Hammam-SousseNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
US MonastirienneWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ES Hammam-SousseUS Monastirienne
50.0Attack45.5
50.0Defence78.8
50.0Form60.6
50.0Power62.2
0.54xG1.03
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