ES Hammam-Soussevs
Stade Tunisien
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ES Hammam-Sousse 0-0 Stade Tunisien, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
ES Hammam-Sousse 1-3 Stade Tunisien
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.61 | 24.9% | 34.2% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.64 | 33.9% | 32.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.2% | 33.3% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
ES Hammam-Sousse 0–0 Stade Tunisien
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ES Hammam-SousseLLD
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.67
BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Stade TunisienLDWDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ES Hammam-SousseStade Tunisien
0.0Attack33.3
77.8Defence50.0
11.1Form16.7
32.9Power36.5
0.92xG0.74