Erzurumspor U19vs
Samsunspor U19
COMPLETEDTurkey · U19 league · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samsunspor U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Erzurumspor U19 1-4 Samsunspor U19
Original prediction
Samsunspor U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.0% | 24.7% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 22.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.8% | 52.4% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Samsunspor U19
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Samsunspor U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20