Erzurumspor FKvs
Manisa F.K.
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/25/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Erzurumspor FK are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Manisa F.K. are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Manisa F.K. hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the 1. Lig, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67