GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 10/17/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erzurumspor FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Eyüpspor

Original prediction

Erzurumspor FK

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5859.4%54.7%-4.7 pts
Draw3.8124.6%24.6%0.0 pts
Away5.8516.0%20.8%4.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Erzurumspor FK

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Erzurumspor FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzurumspor FKDWLWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EyüpsporLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Erzurumspor FKEyüpspor
14.3Attack9.5
47.6Defence4.8
38.1Form14.3
36.8Power14.0
1.62xG0.88
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