Erzgebirge Auevs
Hallescher FC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hallescher FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 Hallescher FC
Original prediction
Hallescher FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.6% | 29.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.7% | 46.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Hallescher FC
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Hallescher FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80