Erzgebirge Auevs
FC Ingolstadt 04
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/6/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erzgebirge Aue · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Erzgebirge Aue are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Ingolstadt 04 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.2 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the 3. Liga, while Erzgebirge Aue holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erzgebirge Aue
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Erzgebirge Aue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00