GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/17/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Erzeni Shijak are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 2.67 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dinamo Tirana are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tirana hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Superliga, while Dinamo Tirana holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tirana

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Dinamo Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzeni ShijakLDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 2.67/3.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Dinamo TiranaWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Erzeni ShijakDinamo Tirana
26.9Attack38.9
47.2Defence60.2
29.6Form43.5
37.4Power49.4
0.66xG1.16
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