Ermisvs
MEAP Nisou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ermis · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ermis 2-0 MEAP Nisou
Original prediction
Ermis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.3% | 54.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 24.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.5% | 21.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Ermis
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Ermis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ErmisWLLWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MEAP NisouLLDDL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ErmisMEAP Nisou
44.4Attack11.1
77.8Defence0.0
66.7Form11.1
64.7Power13.1
1.98xG0.81