Erlbachvs
TuS Geretsried
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while TuS Geretsried are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40