Erlbachvs
Türkspor Augsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00