GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/7/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Türkspor AugsburgWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ErlbachTürkspor Augsburg
46.7Attack28.4
73.3Defence49.0
53.3Form28.4
58.6Power37.2
1.73xG0.59
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