Erlbachvs
Türkspor Augsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/7/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Erlbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80