GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/17/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sportfreunde Schwaig are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.6 against 59.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportfreunde SchwaigWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ErlbachSportfreunde Schwaig
46.7Attack66.7
73.3Defence60.0
53.3Form53.3
58.6Power59.6
1.45xG1.30
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