GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/14/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Schwaben Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Schwaben AugsburgWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ErlbachSchwaben Augsburg
46.7Attack74.5
73.3Defence65.7
53.3Form65.7
58.6Power66.9
1.06xG1.68
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