Erlbachvs
Rain / Lech
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/18/2024, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60