GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pipinsried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pipinsried are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pipinsried hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Pipinsried holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pipinsried

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Pipinsried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PipinsriedLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ErlbachPipinsried
46.7Attack100.0
73.3Defence73.3
53.3Form100.0
58.6Power89.8
1.14xG1.64
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