GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/6/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.6 against 57.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ErlbachWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenLDWLW

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ErlbachNordlingen
46.7Attack64.7
73.3Defence51.0
53.3Form56.9
58.6Power57.5
1.56xG1.42
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